|
|
On '98 Extraordinary Floods in Yangtze River Valley
of China
ZHIYONG
DONG
Hydraulic Engineering Department
of Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute,
Guangzhou Road No.225, Nanjing
210029, Jiangsu Province, P. R. China
E-mail: zydong@njhri.edu.cn
ABSTRACT
As is
known to all, the extreme floods occurred in Yangtze River valley of China in
1998. On the basis of oceanography and meteorology the reasons for abnormal
climate are analyzed in this paper. Flood regime in Yangtze River valley, along
with disaster situation in the middle and lower areas is presented. In
addition, this paper deals with the reasons for a lasting high stage in Yangtze
trunk river, effects of
deterioration of ecological resources caused by man in this
area, as well as the role of Three Gorges Project in flood control. Finally,
the measures of comprehensive control are suggested.
Keywords:
devastative flooding, Yangtze River, reasons for the floods
INTRODUCTION
From
ancient times, the riversides are the main places where the mankind lives and
multiplies. Effects of rivers on human activities are extremely profound and
lasting. On the one hand, people maintain their life and production depending
on rivers and lakes, on the other hand, people suffer from flood disasters.
Flood is a natural phenomenon, it is difficult to completely control floods. A
design standard for flood control engineering can easily be exceeded by the
next flood. The utmost that one can do
is to take measures to minimize the disaster losses due to floods. Even if we have
flood control experience for many years, highly advanced engineering technique,
advanced communication facilities and monitoring means today, floods continue
to wantonly inundate and cause enormous losses in many places of the world.
Therefore, flooding disaster is still one of the major natural calamities
perplexing human life.
In the
past four decades, the comprehensive improvements in flood control for seven
major rivers in China have successively been carried out, including
construction of 240,000 km long levees, 25,000 sluices, over 80,000 reservoirs,
setting up 86 detention basins, and dredging 100,000 km long channels [3].
Through these engineering and non-engineering measures mentioned above, channel
capacity for flood control in China was significantly enhanced, so that middle
and small scales floods can be effectively controlled, and hazards due to
devastating floods decreased.
The
Yangtze River is the longest one in China as shown in Figure 1. It occupies the
third place in the world. It is over 6300 km long, has a 1.8 million km
catchment area and over 9.710
m
mean annual runoff. In Yangtze River valley, the
climate is temperate and humid, precipitation is plentiful, terrain exhibits
high in the west and low in the east. From the river source to the estuary, the
height difference is about 5400 m . In the middle and lower areas of Yangtze
River, industry and agriculture are highly developed, there are a number of key
cities such as Wuhan, Nanjing and Shanghai, and also some key railway trunks
such as Beijing to Guangzhou, Beijing to Shanghai and Beijing to Hong Kong. The
areas are mainly protected by levees of 30,000 km length , located along 3600
km of the Yangtze river. The most dangerous reach for flood control in Yangtze
River is Jingjiang Levee, which is 180 km long, meanly 12 m high and up to 16 m
high in some places, protecting the vast an abundant Jianghan Plain. Once the
levee breaks, the lives and properties of local residents will suffer enormous
losses and threaten the security of Wuhan City.

Fig.1 Sketch of Yangtze River Valley
As known
to all, the third whole valley-wide extraordinary flood of Yangtze River of
this center occurred in 1998 (the first two is 1931 and 1954, respectively),
millions of people were affected. These three historical floods had the
following characterizes (1) The floods covered the whole valley. In addition
the flood exceeded in the upper, in the middle reaches, f.i., water levels of
river systems for Poyang Lake the highest records. Floods of river systems for
Dongting Lake occurred for several times. High floods also occurred in Yangtze
tributaries such as Hanjiang and Qingjiang Rivers. (2) Interaction of trunk and
branch floods, and superposition of flood peaks. Under the condition of the
earlier flood occurrence in the two lakes with lasting high water level,
repeated flood occurrences in the upper reach increasingly interact with ones
in the middle and lower reaches. (3) High stage. The stages in the whole middle
and lower reaches exceeded the warning lines. Water levels of reaches between
Shashi and Luoshan, Wuxue and Jiujiang, as well as in Dongting and Poyang Lakes
exceeded the historically highest ones. Especially the water level in Shashi
reach was up to 45.22 m in far excess of flood diversion. (4) Successive flood
peak occurrences and a long high stage duration. Successive 8 flood peaks
occurred in the upper reaches. Especially from early- August to mid-August, the
successive 3 flood peaks occurred in a ten-days time. The water level in the
middle reach had exceeded the warning stage two months, and exceeded the
historically highest one for over a month. Because floods in 1998 were of a
mighty order, covered a vast area and had a long duration, the disaster was
rather serious. However, the losses due to the floods were much less than that
in 1931 and 1954(see Table 1).
|
|
break of trunk dike |
suffered people (million) |
suffered farmland (million) |
died people (thousand) |
railway trunks |
Jingjiang Levee |
Wuhan City |
|
1931 |
354 |
28.87 |
3.77 |
145.4 |
(1) |
several breaks |
inundated for over 3
months |
|
1954 |
61 |
18.88 |
3.17 |
33.0 |
(2) |
stood |
security |
|
1998 |
1 (3) |
not clear |
not clear |
1.32 |
security |
stood |
security |
Table1 Comparison of Disaster Situations for Three
Extraordinary This Century
Notes:(1)
Beijing to Wuhan held up a long-term, Tianjin to Nanjing held up for 54 days;
(2) Beijing to Guangzhou held up for 100 days; (3) closure in a couple of days.
INFLUENCES
OF EL NINO AND LANNINA
Interaction
of atmosphere with ocean would directly result in change in the global climate.
If the ocean surface temperature rise due to the interaction in equatorial
areas is higher 0.5 than the mean annual value for a six-month, we can refer it
to as El Nino phenomena or events; On the contrary, if the ocean surface
temperature is lower 0.5than the mean annual value for a six-month, then we can
refer it to as Lannina phenomena.
The
greatest temperature rise event of a vast surface seawater in the middle and
east tropic Pacific areas took place in 1997 since a century record history,
that is El Nino. Oceanographers and meteorologists in the world are very much
shocked at the El Nino that is rapid and intense. Because specific heat of
water is as about four times as that of air, and water density as over 800
times as air one, heat released by slight change in seawater temperature (for
example, 0.5) can make atmospheric circulation intense change so that result in
abnormal climate. That event caused in some places in the world serious
drought, and the other ones serious flood and waterlogging.
The end of
1997, the El Nino temperature rise phenomena tended to steady state.
Oceanographers and meteorologists guess the event ended in May or June of 1998,
so that the global climate will return to normal. However, it was unforeseen
that the occurrence of Lannina made oceanographers and meteorologists more
astonishal than the warm water event of El Nino in 1997. Though 1997's El Nino
event created the highest historic value, including a vast seawater surface
temperature in excess of 5 than the normal value and even part of areas in
excess of about 7, such a high temperature attained through a eight-month from
April of 1997, far inferior to Lannina's swift and violent.
As a
result of the tropic ocean cooling, atmospheric heat obtained from ocean
decreases as compared with normal situation. Under the condition, the behaviour
of atmospheric circulation will deviate from normal state and result in
abnormal climate. However, the abnormal climate due to Lanina event is not
quite opposite to El Nino one, which has its intrinsic law. As far East-Asia,
intensity and latitude of subtropic high inclined to strong and high during El
Nino, respectively, whereas during Lanina to weak and low, respectively. At
that time effects of El Nino have not yet completely vanished due to time
delay, in the meantime effects of Lannina have already started, which make
China's climate extremely complicated.
In 1998
such a long-term heavy precipitation occurs in Yangtze River valley, the
"culprit" was subtropic high. The late-July in a normal year, the middle and
lower areas of Yangtze River should be under subtropic high, in a hot season
drought, and in the weather of air temperature high and less rain, rainfall belt
should move to north. However, under the combination of El Nino and Lanina
events, subtropic high move to south-east, so that make the middle and lower
areas being the leading edge of subtropic high, in which warm and wet currents
meet with northern cold air, thus resulting necessarily in rain.
REASONS
FOR A LASTING HIGH STAGE IN YANGTZE TRUNK RIVER
As a
matter of fact, flood disaster in 1998 preliminarily gave an inkling in early
1997's winter. The winter flood in December of 1997, and later spring flood in
March of 1998(a month ahead of time) made water level of Yangtze River
widespreadly higher.
First of
all, a longer lasting rainstorm between mid-June and late-June, the areas in
Dongting and Poyang Lakes situated in the middle and lower of Yangtze River
exhibit rainstorms in succession, in addition, increasingly received water from
tributary rivers, so that an 800 km long reach exceeded warning stage. At this
moment, the first flood peak of Yangtze River had not occurred yet. In
addition, over a month later, the eastern in Sichuan Province and areas of
Three Gorges situated in the upper of Yangtze River successively exhibit
rainstorms. In the meantime, several hard rain in the whole drainage of Yangtze
River occurred. In this way, a vast amount of floods torrentially surged into
Yangtze River.
Secondly,
occurred oncoming flood peaks with tremendous force and a short interval
between the peaks. Eight flood peaks successively took place in the upper reach
of Yangtze River (see Table 2), only between mid-August and late-August, three
flood peaks occurred in a ten-day. After the first two flood peaks, the middle
and lower reaches beyond Yichang in Hubei Province exceeded warning stage, the
middle reach in excess of warning stage lasted two months. Under the condition
of oncoming floods successively in the upper and discharge slowly in the lower
reach, water levels in the middle rise steeply.
Thirdly,
the poor soil and water conservation in the upper reach resulted in the flood
disaster in the middle and lower areas. Because the vegetation in Minjiang and
Jialingjiang catchments of the upper Yangtze River have been seriously
destroyed, along with the weaken ability for forests to receive rain, a vast
runoff directly converged into rivers. Soil and water loss resulted in
sedimentation in channels and lakes, which made flood control in the middle and
lower reaches of Yangtze River more serious.
|
first peak |
Second Peak |
third peak |
fourth peak |
fifth peak |
sixth peak |
seventh peak |
eighth peak |
|
July 2 |
July 18 |
July 24 |
Aug. 7 |
Aug.12 |
Aug.16 |
Aug. 25 |
Sept. 2 |
Table
2 Date of Flood Peak at Yichang Station in 1998 [4]
Fourthly,
conveying and storage areas of floods are largely decreasing. Area of eight
lakes subjected to flood storage in Yangtze River valley decreased by 33% compared
to the early 1950's, which reached over 5500 km
. As far as Dongting Lake is concerned [2], between
1951 and 1957 mean annual 45% of sediment discharge in the middle areas of
Yangtze River was diverged into the lake, which had made lake bed level
aggradation rapidly. The fertile flood plain of aggradation was promptly
embanked for polder. By rough estimate, area of Dongting Lake was about 7000 km
one hundred years ago, on the basis of measured data in
1936, at that time the area was only left over 4700 km
, and up to 1947 only 3100 km
. In a short eleven-year, the area of lake reduced by
1600 km
, at that period of time, however, the cultivated area
of lake plain increased by about 167 thousand ha. Thus it can be seen that
natural sediment aggradation and man-made embanked polder make natural volumes
of flood storage of Dongting Lake sharply decreased, so that greatly reduced
effectiveness of diversion and storage of Yangtze floods than before. Dykes of
some tributaries of Yangtze River were heightened and Reinforced, as well as
capacity for flood storage sharply reduced, which made water impounded in the
trunk dykes, in addition, tidal lockup in the lower, thus making water level of
trunk river high.
Fifthly,
flood recession developed slowly in the middle and lower of Yangtze River. The
slow flood recession was directly related to low head between middle and lower
reaches of Yangtze River. Yichang in Hubei Province is the demarcation between
upper and lower reaches of Yangtze River, and 1800 km from the estuary,
however, the fall is only over 50 metres. In addition, spring of lunar calendar
make water of lower Yangtze River locked up. In this case, the channel of
storage flood in the lower and middle Yangtze River receded slowly.
ECOLOGICAL
RESOURCES SUFFERING DESTRUCTION
After
Yangtze River entering main flood period, rain in the upper, middle and lower
occurred simultaneously, and floods in the whole Yangtze River took place
simultaneously, which made flood amount sharply increase in excess of the
amount in earlier years, which was the principal reason for the flood disaster.
However, in contrast to the past hydrological records we can find that flood
discharge in 1998 was quite large, but not the maximum. In Yichang, for
example, the maximum discharge of the first three flood peaks passing through
in 1998 was 56400
. However, according to the hydrological records
the maximum peak discharge was in the
order of 60000
in the last 23
years. That was not the maximum discharge of floods, but created repeatedly new
stage records, which was directly related to man-made destruction of ecological
environment in Yangtze River valley for a long time past, characterized by
three aspects: First, destruction of vegetative cover and wetland in Yangtze
valley; Second, non-rational use of channels and lakes; Third, land surface
hardening making runoff coefficient increase.
REFER TO
VEGETATION AS GREEN RESERVOIR
It is
investigated that a water storage capacity of 1000 ha forests is analogous to
water storage of a million m
reservoir. Yangtze River valley was always the area
where forest cover rate was larger in the past. However, of late several
decades, forests suffered a vast cutting, especially at drainage of
Jinshajiang, Minjiang Rivers. Though at present the areas of artificial forest,
middle and young growths, to some extent, increase, the mature and natural
forests of ecological effects on conserving water, soil conservation, and
creature variety protection etc. have still suffered from cutting, and residual
natural woods are also under degeneration.
Effects of
vegetation destroyed directly bring about two harms: first, it reduces capacity
for conserving water so that precipitation immediately is turned into surface
runoff, which increase pressure of flood into conveying channels; second, it
results in serious soil and water losses. The statistical data show that the
area of soil and water losses in Yangtze River valley increased by 56.6% over
the past 30 years, a vast amount of sediment is discharged into the river,
which degragated channel bed level and aggravated siltation of channels and
lakes. In this case, a higher water level will easily attain in spite of a not
too big discharge, which endanger security of the people' lives and properties
along riversides.
Decrease
in amount and area of wetlands were also the main aspects of ecological
resources subjected to destruction in Yangtze River valley. Wetland is an
important part in storage and regulation of floods, regulating climate, soil
and water conservation, purifying water quality and creature variety
protection. It's a pity that with economic development and sharp increase of
population the wetland resources in Yangtze valley increasingly reduce, which
largely lower capacity for storage and conservation of water and flood
regulation.
THE
NON-RATIONAL USE OF CHANNELS AND LAKES
It is in
the middle and lower areas where freshwater lakes concentratedly distribute the
water. Numerous lakes became the natural regulating regions of Yangtze water.
However, blind polders shrink lakes and aggravate ecology. In 1950's the number
of lakes in Hanjiang River areas were 1056, up to in the early 1990's they
reduced to 182. According to statistics, in recent several decades the area of
lake loss in lower and middle Yangtze River was about twelve million ha, the
loss rate being 34%, so that water storage is less and less and capacity for
flood regulation is lower and lower. In addition, in the areas of middle and
lower Yangtze River, phenomena of artificial occupying channel for reclamation,
building housing on channels, industrial and mineral enterprises arbitrarily
discharging tailings, slags etc. into rivers are very serious. All of these
seriously affected the capacity for flood retention.
URBANIZING
DEVELOPMENT
A
considerable change in the state of urban surface occurred, a great part of
areas from originally pervious surface have been turned into an impervious one
so that due to the increase of runoff coefficient and decrease area of water
storage, increase of runoff occurred.
1998's
flood disaster told us the lesson that protecting ecological environment to
realize sustainable development is an important aspect which may not be ignored
at social development. In the present time of developing economics ecological
effects must be paid germane attention, if not, man will meet with the
merciless retaliation of nature!
THE ROLE
OF THREE GORGES PROJECT IN FLOOD CONTROL
Flood and
waterlogging disaster in lower and middle Yangtze River, to a certain extent,
are attributed to high peaks and discharges of floods in the upper reach,
exceeding the flood conveying capacity of the river. Safety discharge in the
middle and lower reaches is 60,000 to 70,000
, and 80,000
, respectively. However, as far as the floods in 1931
and 1954are measured, flood discharge from stream up at Yichang plus the one
from Dongting Lake exceeded a million
. Flood volume, in 1954, for example, was 102 thousand
billion
. 70 thousand billion
must be
retained by reservoirs or diverted to secure dikes. At present, regions of
flood diversion and plain lakes only accommodate 50 thousand billion
of flood volume. Therefore, the other 20 thousand
billion
volume need to be retained by reservoirs[1]. It should
be noted that, there is a six-million ha cultivated land in flood diversion
areas, some of the areas are populated densely, so that flood diversion will
result in heavy losses. For Three Gorges Project under construction, the total
reservoir capacity is over 40 thousand billion
, the flood control capacity is over 20
thousand billion
. In view of the favourable geographical position of
Three Gorges reservoir, it can control a catchment area of 100
and all five major tributaries. For this reason, it
will play an important role in flood control for the middle and lower reaches.
TO
STRENGTHEN COMPREHENSIVE IMPROVEMENT
The floods
in Yangtze River in 1998 have taught a bitter lesson. Overall, the ability to
fight against flood and waterlogging in China has not attained a high level. A
lot of problems exist in hydraulic engineering and comprehensive control
methods. They mainly concern: (1) The low standard, ageing, poor maintenance of
flood control works at a number of
dangerous sections of the river; (2) With increase of population the phenomena
of competing with interests concerning flood control and land reclamation
appear to become increasingly serious. An amount of flood plains of lakes and
channels have been embanked for polder lowering the capacity for both storage
and regulation of flood; (3) The phenomena of reclamation of wasteland and
deforestation is evident and makes soil and water losses increasing and
aggradation of lakes and rivers serious.
To control
flood disasters in Yangtze River needs to be tackled in a comprehensive way
including engineering and structural measures, and social science. It can
mainly consists of heightening and reinforcing levee systems, rational planning
of diversions and retarding regions of flood, building reservoirs in trunk and
tributary streams, soil and water conservation, training and dredging of
channel, as well as flood control according to law etc. In addition, the
advanced science and technology should be adopted in both construction of flood
control engineering, and aspects of emergency measures to strengthen existing
dikes Relations between economic development and environment protection should be
scientifically coordinated.
REFERENCES
[1] Yan,
Kai: Three Gorges Projecta comprehensive use engineering of rational planning
water resources, Information of Science and Technology of Hohai University,
No.1, 1990(in Chinese)
[2] Shi,
Jiayang: A comprehensive use of water resources, China Waterpower Press,
1996(in Chinese)
[3] Yao,
Leren: Flood control engineering, China Waterpower Press, 1997(in Chinese)
[4] Bo,
Er: Floodssketch of Chinese soldiers and civilians fighting floods in 1998,
Chinese Industrial and Commercial Union Press, 1998(in Chinese)