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Future Aspects of Flood
Protection Management in the German Oder Region Concluded from the Flooding in
Summer 1997
BAERBEL KOPPE
Dipl.-Ing.
University of Rostock, Institute for Hydraulic and Coastal Engineering,
Philipp-Mueller-Strasse, 23966 Wismar, Germany
Tel.: ++49 - (0)3841 - 753 448, Fax: ++49 - (0)3841 -
753 448
E-mail: bkoppe@bau.uni-rostock.de
ABSTRACT
In summer 1997 extremely
heavy rainfalls in large parts of Eastern Europe resulted in disastrous floods
on the river Oder and its upper tributaries in the Czech Republic, in Poland
and in Germany. The damage in Poland and the Czech Republic was enormous,
while in Germany comparatively little damage occurred. This can be put down to
the small German area that is endangered by high water levels of the Oder, the
relief by breaches in Polish dikes, the available time for preparation after
first reports about the catastrophe in the headwaters and the huge personnel,
technical and financial efforts to protect the Oder dikes in the Federal State
of Brandenburg.
Even if
the quelling of the flood disaster at the river Oder speaks for the disaster
management in Brandenburg, improvements in flood protection management are
necessary. This concerns preventive technical protection measures, as well as
preventive measures to minimise the damage potential; observation and
forecasting of water levels, early warning systems, disaster control measures
and transboundary co-ordination of flood protection measures.
Future
aspects of the flood protection management in the German Oder region concluded
from the flooding in summer 1997 will be highlighted in the paper. Special
attention is directed to the integration of the population in flood protection
measures.
Keywords: Flood Disaster - Flood Protection Management - River Oder - Risk Handling
INTRODUCTION
Extremely heavy rainfalls in
large parts of Eastern Europe resulted in disastrous floods on the river Oder
in the Czech Republic, in Poland and in Germany. In the Czech Republic, a third
of the territory was hit by the flood and 60 people were killed. In the south
of Poland, nearly 7000 km2 were flooded and 54 people died. The
incurred damages in both countries were estimated to be between ten and fifteen
thousand million German Marks (approx. six to nine thousand million US $).
In
Germany, although the flood on the river Oder did not take any lives, an area
of 60 km2 was flooded and the damages amounted to 650 million German
Marks (approx. 380 million US $). The comparatively small damages can be put
down to the small German area that is endangered by high water levels of the
Oder, the relief by breaches in Polish dikes, the available time for
preparation after first reports about the catastrophe in the headwaters and the
enormous personnel, technical and financial efforts to protect the Oder dikes.
METEOROLOGICAL AND HYDROLOGICAL SITUATION AT
THE ODER IN SUMMER 1997
Two successive periods of
heavy rainfalls in large parts of the Oder catchment area led to the flood
during July and August 1997. Continuous rainfalls occurred in the upper Oder
region with an average of 150 mm between 4th and 7th July. Maximum values of up
to 400 mm appeared at the station Lysa Hora in the Czech Republic. Furthermore,
the flood situation was worsened by the second period of precipitation between
18th and 21st July, with average rainfalls of 50 mm. The centre of the rainfalls
was once more the Czech Republic and the south of Poland with, for example, 164
mm at Lysa Hora. But heavy rainfalls were also noted in the German Oder region.
Such weather situations and the resulting floods are not unusual for the Oder region. But the floods in summer 1997 were exceptional for two reasons: (1) The coincidental repetition of the extreme rainfalls after only two weeks and (2) the complete covering of the whole Oder catchment area with rain more than twice that of the average precipitation for the month of July [1].
The flood
in summer 1997 therefore has to be evaluated as an extremely rare event.
According to the peak water level, it can be classed as HQ150 in the
affected German Oder region in the Federal State of Brandenburg [2]. In
addition, the flood in summer 1997 was exceptional because of the time, (more
than two weeks), which the high water levels in the German Oder region lasted.
SHORT TERM PROTECTION WORKS IN THE GERMAN
ODER REGION IN SUMMER 1997
The main
problem for maintaining the Oder dikes in Germany, which are approximately 167
km long, was the long duration of the flood. Not one of the dikes in Germany
was inundated, despite the fact that in some places of the
"Oderbruch" north of Frankfurt/Oder, the water almost reached the
dike-crest.
Most of
the so-called homogenous dikes are built of sandy and clayey soil. A large part
of the dikes were built 250 years ago when the low-lying area Oderbruch was
drained. Since then they have been heightened a few times. The structure of the
dikes is not known in detail, because of their old age and their rebuilding.
Normally, no safety measures like drainage or filters on the inner side of the
dikes have been implemented. Therefore the dikes can only withstand high
water levels temporarily. They lose their stability by means of erosion /
suffusion and seeping water.
The
Ziltendorfer Niederung, a low-lying area south of Frankfurt, was flooded after
two breaches in the Oder dike. The inundated area had a size of 60 km2,
2,000 people had to be evacuated and 300 houses were damaged.
In the
Oderbruch, a low-lying area extending approximately 1,000 km2, an
inundation was prevented by an enormous personnel, technical and financial
effort. In this area, up to 20,000 inhabitants were endangered by the flood and
8,000 people temporarily left their homes.
In
particular, three dike-sections sheltering the Oderbruch were badly affected.
The operation at the dikes ran for nearly two weeks day and night. Because of
the weakness of the dikes, only light vehicles could enter the dike-roads. At
some sections of the dike, the supply with sandbags was only possible by
helicopter. About 200 weak points had to be provided with sandbags in the
Oderbruch alone. Nearly the whole dike-line of the lower Oderbruch was
protected with ring dikes.
The
operation was carried out with the assistance of more than 15,000 members of
the German Armed Forces, 4,300 members of the Federal Border Police, 2,100 firemen
and -women, 7,000 members of technical relief organisations, 1,500 policemen
and -women, 1,000 members of aid organisations, 430 employees of the regional
environmental authorities and numerous volunteers. More than 60 helicopters,
1,400 trucks, 200 bulldozers and 80 boats were in use. To secure the dikes, 8.5
million sandbags, approximately 10,000 m2 of geomembranes, 66,000 m2
of geotextiles and 2,000
fascicles were needed [3]. It was the biggest civil action in the history of the
German Armed Forces.
FUTURE ASPECTS OF FLOOD PROTECTION
MANAGEMENT CONCLUDED FROM THE ODER FLOODING IN SUMMER 1997
Technical
flood protection measures can never provide overall, but only restricted
safety. If the water level or the load exceeds the design criteria, the
construction will fail. The flood protection management consists not only of
preventive technical protection measures, but also of the analysis and the
minimisation of the damage potential, the observation and forecasting of water
levels, early warning systems and disaster control measures. The precondition
for effective flood protection management is an awareness on the part of the
authorities and the population of flood endangerment. The integration of the
threat of flooding in political and social life in low-lying areas would
improve the state of readiness in the event of an emergency.
Not just
the right, but the most probable moment for improvements in flood protection
management is the time after a flood disaster. The memory of the endangerment
is fresh and the quality of the protection measures can be assessed. The
following text looks at future aspects of preventive technical protection
measures, the reactivation of flood plains, transboundary co-operation for
flood protection management and concepts of disaster control in the German Oder
region.
PREVENTIVE
TECHNICAL FLOOD PROTECTION MEASURES
The
reconstruction of breaches and badly-damaged dike sections in the Ziltendorfer
Niederung and in the Oderbruch were finished in November 1997. The protection
against wintry floods was therefore installed in time. In all, 9 km of dike
line were either completely destroyed or seriously weakened by either hydraulic
base and slope failure or by soil erosion. The costs of reconstruction or
repair of these stretches were put at 36.5 million German Marks (approx. 21.5
million US $).
The
strengthening of large parts of the Oder dikes in the Federal State of Brandenburg,
especially of the dikes in the Oderbruch, shall be concluded by the year 2005.
The costs are estimated at 230 million German Marks (approx. 135 million US $).
In the period 2006 to 2020, up to 270 million German Marks (approx. 160 million
US $) will once more be spent on preventive technical flood protection in
Brandenburg [4].
The dikes
on the Oder were repaired according to the principle of the "3-zone-dike". The
whole of the dike body was not renewed, providing the damage and the foundation
allowed it. The central part remained as a supporting body. The waterside foot
of the dike was removed, so as to bind the sealant which needed to be applied
to the highly impermeable bottom. This minimises the seepage in the dike and
with it the danger of slope failure and inner erosion. The dam is drained by a
landward porous load filter, which also provides protection against hydraulic
base failure. The previous embankment gradients, which ranged from 1:1.5 to
1:2, were reduced to 1:3 and the dike crest was made wider, so as to improve
the stability of the construction. The larger width of the dike crest will also
enable an increase in the height of the dike at a later date. Previous
arrangements with the Polish government are necessary to heighten the German
Oder dikes.
REACTIVATION
OF FLOOD PLAINS AND TRANSBOUNDARY CO-ORDINATION FOR FLOOD PROTECTION MANAGEMENT
In
Germany, the possibilities for the reactivation of flood plains are limited. A
large number of existing flood plains were drained and populated during the
last centuries. Nowadays only 280 km2 of flood plains, including the
already available polders in the "Nationalpark Unteres Odertal" (Downstream
Oder Valley National Park), could be reactivated from the original amount of
3,000 km2. In all, about 650 million m3 of water could be
stored in the German flood plains at the Oder in future. In comparison with the
planned retention areas, the flooded Ziltendorfer Niederung took 150 million m3 and lowered the water level
in Frankfurt/Oder for two days by up to 0.75 m [4].
The
flooded lowlands of the Ziltendorfer Niederung were repopulated again. During
the flooding some politicians were already promising the inhabitants of the
low-lying area that they would be able to go back. This rendered any further
discussion of a resettlement policy impossible. In any case, resettlement of
this kind would have been a very difficult task. Now, there are some
restrictions for building in low-lying areas, like the ban on installing any
kind of oil heating. A real flood-proof architecture and use of buildings has
not been demanded up to now.
For
better flood protection management at the Oder, transboundary concepts of
retention and improvements in run-off conditions and flood warning systems on a
long-term basis are essential. The concepts must include the whole catchment
area of the Oder covering 110,000 km2. The largest part of it is in
Poland, only 6 % is in the Czech Republic and 5 % in Germany.
An
efficient reduction of the flood crest cannot be achieved without substantial
retention measures contributed to by the water management in the Polish
catchment area. First steps in transboundary co-operation were made shortly
after the flood-disaster in September 1997 [2], but the discussions have been very difficult up to now [4]. A main problem is the conflicting opinion of Polish and
German authorities about river control works at the Oder. The Polish government
want to facilitate the navigation of container ships of the Europe class on the
Oder, whereas the German authorities for flood protection management fear an
increasing velocity of the flood crest and therefore a shortening of the early
warning time and a heightening of the peak water levels from these measures.
Further discussions on this theme will be necessary.
Other
aims of transboundary co-operation for flood protection management are improvements
in the water level measurement and in the forecasting system to extend the
early warning time and to get better quality information. During the flooding
in 1997, the forecasting of water levels was very difficult. Most of the water
level gauges in the Czech Republic and in Poland were swept away by the
currents. In addition, different rainfall-runoff-models are in use in the
three countries, so that the exchange and comparison of results is still
problematic.
CONCEPTS
OF DISASTER CONTROL
In the
State of Brandenburg, the district administrators are responsible for disaster
control measures. If several districts are affected by a catastrophe like in
summer 1997, the Minister of the Interior will be the superior disaster control
authority for co-ordinating the measures in the different districts. The
protection of the Oderbruch lowlands which were hardly affected was a great
success and speaks for the disaster management in Brandenburg. The
co-ordination of different organisations with different command-structures
was absolutely essential for the
successful outcome.
The
events in summer 1997 proved that only the teamwork of highly equipped organisations
like the Federal Army, the Federal Border Guard, the Technical Relief
Organisation and the telecommunication service together with meteorological and
hydrological experts and with local fire brigades can handle a catastrophe of
this dimension. In addition, the large number of highly motivated volunteers
was a great help.
However,
there were some problems. It was partly difficult to convince the people of the
gravity of the flooding, despite the fact that in the Czech Republic and in
Poland there had already been fatal casualties. In the Ziltendorfer Niederung
the danger was not initially taken seriously by the population and warnings to
leave the area were ignored. The evacuation was therefore eventually a rush and
only absolute essentials could be saved.
The
precondition for effective flood protection management is an awareness on the
part of the population of flood endangerment. Maps of endangered areas and
leaflets with detailed information about flood protection management, possible
failures of technical protection measures, precautions to minimise flood
damages and the appropriate behaviour in the event of a flood warning should
therefore be published. Additional ways to inform people about the endangerment
by flooding are illustrated books and films about protection measures and flood
disasters. For this purpose, the Institute for Hydraulic and Coastal
Engineering at the University of Rostock produced a video about the flooding on
the river Oder in 1997 in Germany [5].
For a
functional early warning system, not only must every endangered person receive the information in time, but
everyone must also trust in it. The more different authorities issue the
warning in different ways and maybe different words but with exactly the same
content, the more likely the population is to accept it. Local dignitaries
like mayors or fire chiefs could be integrated into the transfer of warnings.
Often they are in the same situation as those addressed and they can convince
the people of the necessity of seemingly unpleasant measures, more easily than
someone in authority who is not personally known.
The
strengthening of local flood protection organisations might be a promising way
to obtain a cost-effective and sustainable improvement of flood disaster
management. The scope of duties of these organisations could be the
installation and maintenance of local alarm facilities, the maintenance of
technical equipment like emergency generators and pumps, the elaboration of
an emergency measurement catalogue, and the realisation of regular emergency
exercises. The supervision of these measures could be organised by a state
organisation; in the State of Brandenburg this could be the Environmental Agency
of the State.
The main advantages of local flood protection organisations are:
l
emergency
plans adjusted to local needs
l
large
number of highly motivated and skilled helpers with good knowledge of the area
l
awareness
of the endangerment by flooding to the population
l
widespread
knowledge of the possibilities to protect life and goods in the event of
flooding
l
improvement
of early warning communication
l
small
financial expenses for a significant improvement in flood protection management
CONCLUSIONS
Improvements
in technical flood protection measures can raise the degree of safety, but
nevertheless they provide only restricted protection and they are very
cost-intensive. To defuse the endangerment by flooding in the Oder region, the
Czech, Polish and German authorities must co-operate. Above all, the
reactivation of former flood plains in the Polish catchment area could lower
the flood crest significantly. In addition, improvements in the measurement
and forecasting of water levels must be made together.
Effective
flood protection management in cost and safety levels should also integrate
local organisations. They will contribute a large number of highly motivated
and skilled helpers with a good knowledge of the area and will ensure the
awareness in the population of endangerment by flooding. In addition, early
warning communication will be improved.
REFERENCES
|
[1] |
GEB, M.; SIELAND-CORADAZZI,
H. |
|
1997 |
|
"Anmerkungen
zum Oder-Hochwasser-Regen im Juli 1997: Ein Sommerereignis wie es im Buche
steht?" Beilage zum Nordhemisphaerischen Klimabericht Juli 1997.
Meteorologisches Institut FU Berlin. |
|
[2] |
DVWK |
|
1997 |
|
"Expertengespraech
: Reaktivierung der Uberflutungs-aue: 12-Punkte Katalog". Wasser &
Boden, vol. 49, |
|
[3] |
DEUTSCHER BUNDESTAG |
|
1997 |
|
"Abschlussbericht
zur Hochwasserkatastrophe an der Oder". Deutscher Bundestag. |
|
[4] |
MUNR |
|
1998 |
|
"Pressemitteilung
22.07.1998". Ministerium fuer Umwelt, Naturschutz und Raumordnung Land
Brandenburg. |
|
[5] |
KOPPE, B.; JUERGENS,M.W. |
|
1998 |
|
"The flooding
on the river Oder in the summer of 1997 between Ratzdorf and Hohensaaten",
documentary videotape in German and English. Institut fuer Wasserbau,
Universitaet Rostock. |