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You are here : eLibrary : IAHR World Congress Proceedings : 33rd Congress - Vancouver (2009) : Special Seminars : Evaluation of typhoons due to global warming and storm surge simulations by using the general circul...
Evaluation of typhoons due to global warming and storm surge simulations by using the general circulation model outputs
Author : Tomohiro Yasuda, Hajime Mase, Rie Takada, Soo Youl Kim, Nobuhito Mori and Yuichiro Oku
The effects of global warming are indisputable for an increase of natural disasters. In Japan, the innovative program of climate change projection for the 21st century has started since 2007 aiming to contribute to the IPCC fifth assessment report. Tropical cyclones (typhoons) are one of phenomena affected strongly by global warming. Extreme events of typhoon will make high storm surges and waves and have the potential to flood over low lying coastal areas. Therefore, it is important to consider the change of typhoon characteristics from present to future. By taking such characteristics into account, a stochastic typhoon model is established and probabilities to attack three major bay areas in Japan are evaluated. Lastly, storm surge simulations are carried out by using a coupled prediction model of storm surge, wave and tide model and by using AGCM output’s future typhoons.
File Size : 1,102,752 bytes
File Type : Adobe Acrobat Document
Chapter : IAHR World Congress Proceedings
Category : 33rd Congress - Vancouver (2009)
Article : Special Seminars
Date Published : 09/08/2009
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