IAHR, founded in 1935, is a worldwide independent member-based organisation of engineers and water specialists working in fields related to the hydro-environmental sciences and their practical application. Activities range from river and maritime hydraulics to water resources development and eco-hydraulics, through to ice engineering, hydroinformatics, and hydraulic machinery.
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You are here : eLibrary : IAHR World Congress Proceedings : 34th Congress - Brisbane (2011) : THEME 1: Extremes and Variability : Adapting to climate variability and change: limitations of relying on climate model outputs
Adapting to climate variability and change: limitations of relying on climate model outputs
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There is currently a distinct gap between what climate science can provide and information that is needed to robustly adapt to climate variability and/or change. Improved understanding of interactions between the various hydroclimatic drivers is required to quantify current and future climate related risk and also, importantly, the level of uncertainty surrounding those risk estimates. Is it sensible to continue funding studies that simply take climate model outputs, which we know are flawed, and via factoring or some other approach use these climate model outputs to obtain climate change impacted scenarios? Further, is it wise to then make management, strategic planning, and infrastructure development decisions based on ‘blind faith’ in the outputs of such studies?Other possibilities, besides relying purely on climate model outputs, do exist for quantifying risks associated with climate variability and/or change. How these alternate approaches can be used to inform robust adaptation strategies will be discussed.
File Size : 235,426 bytes
File Type : Adobe Acrobat Document
Chapter : IAHR World Congress Proceedings
Category : 34th Congress - Brisbane (2011)
Article : THEME 1: Extremes and Variability
Date Published : 01/07/2011
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