IAHR, founded in 1935, is a worldwide independent member-based organisation of engineers and water specialists working in fields related to the hydro-environmental sciences and their practical application. Activities range from river and maritime hydraulics to water resources development and eco-hydraulics, through to ice engineering, hydroinformatics, and hydraulic machinery.
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You are here : eLibrary : IAHR World Congress Proceedings : 36th Congress - The Hague (2015) ALL CONTENT : Special sessions : Planning support for prior release operation of a multi-purpose reservoirconsidering real-time hydro...
Planning support for prior release operation of a multi-purpose reservoirconsidering real-time hydrological predictionbased on the monte carlo simulation
Author : DAISUKE NOHARA(1) & TOMOHARU HORI(2)
ABSTRACT
A method to analyze impacts of prior release operation of a multi-purpose reservoir considering real-time inflow prediction
is developed in order to support design of effective prior release operation method. Firstly, inflow prediction sequences for
the coming 24 hours are artificially generated with designed error structures. Simulation on short-term reservoir operation
for flood control including prior release is then conducted with the generated inflow predictions as a Monte Carlo
simulation in order to evaluate the effect of prior release operation with imperfect inflow prediction. Simulation on long-term
reservoir operation for water use is also conducted with the storage volume recovered at the end of each simulation on
short-term reservoir operation to analyze effects and impacts of prior release on water use operation. The proposed
method was applied to Kamafusa Reservoir in Japan, demonstrating the effectiveness of the method to support design of
adaptive reservoir operation by clarifying the effects and impacts of prior release operation with imperfect hydrological
prediction.
File Size : 540,886 bytes
File Type : Adobe Acrobat Document
Chapter : IAHR World Congress Proceedings
Category : 36th Congress - The Hague (2015) ALL CONTENT
Article : Special sessions
Date Published : 19/08/2015
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