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Impact of Climate Change on River Water Flow: The Case of the Transboundary Mesta/Nestos River Between Bulgaria and Greece

Author(s): Ch. Skoulikaris; J. Ganoulis; J. M. Monget

Linked Author(s): Jacques Ganoulis

Keywords: No Keywords

Abstract: The present work aims at exploring the coupling of hydrological and climate change models in order to satisfy conflicting demands of different water uses, like hydropower generation and agricultural irrigation. It is illustrated by the investigation of water resources management under climate change in the Mesta/Nestos river basin. This basin is shared between Bulgaria, which has the upstream northern part (Mesta), and Greece, which has the downstream part (Nestos). Climate change scenarios were based on the regional climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany. The temperature, precipitation and evapotranspiration results obtained from the climate simulation model were introduced as input data in the spatially distributed hydrological model MODSUR-NEIGE. The analysis indicates significant changes in the seasonal water flow, with a net reduction in the river flow rate especially during the summer period and, as a consequence, difficulties for ensuring hydropower production and agricultural needs.

DOI:

Year: 2009

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