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Evaluating Future Climate-Driven Changes in Flood Hazard in Northwest Spain Coastal River Reaches

Author(s): M. Bermudez; L. Cea; J. Sopelana

Linked Author(s): María Bermúdez Pita, Luis Cea Gómez

Keywords: No Keywords

Abstract: Flooding in coastal river reaches is the result of complex spatio-temporal interactions between coastal and inland sources (rainfall, river discharge, storm surge, etc. ). This work presents a methodology to explore the individual role of each source in the extreme water levels and to evaluate climate-driven changes in flood hazard integrating all source contributions. It relies on the long-term continuous simulation of along-river water levels from synthetic series of the flood sources, using a surrogate model of the 2D shallow water equations. It is applied to a coastal river reach in Northwest Spain, where it was possible to define the extension of the sea influence, and to confirm and quantify the significant contribution of the sea-level rise to future flood hazard in the river mouth.

DOI:

Year: 2020

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