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Weather Research Forecast Modelling and Pseudo-Global Warming Technique for Projection of Tropical Cyclones in South China Sea Impacting Hong Kong

Author(s): Francis Tam; Ander K. C Chow; Christopher J. Wong; Terence H. F Leung; Dickson T. S Tsui; Ivan N. F Wong

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Keywords: Weather Research and Forecasting; Climate change; Tropical cyclone

Abstract: The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and Pseudo Global Warming (PGW) method are used to investigate the climate change impact on the tropical cyclone (TC) parameters including intensity, central pressure, and size. 25 tropical cyclones of the Typhoon class or above (ie. TC with maximum sustained wind speed near the centre larger than 118 km/h) are selected in this investigation. Projection of the percentage change of the TC-parameters due to climate change in near and far future is presented.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.64697/978-90-835589-7-4_41WC-P2069-cd

Year: 2025

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